Portugal U19 vs Italy U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
BIH
1 - 4
POR
14%
20%
67%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
POR
2 - 0
KAZ
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ARM
0 - 4
POR
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
GER
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
SVK
2 - 1
POR
35%
24%
40%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
ITA
2 - 0
KAZ
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
ITA
2 - 0
BIH
84%
12%
5%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
ITA
4 - 0
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
ITA
0 - 1
UKR
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |