Portugal U19 vs Spain U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2006 |
POR
4 - 4
TUR
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2006 |
SCO
2 - 2
POR
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
MKD
1 - 3
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
CRO
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
ISR
1 - 0
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spain U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2006 |
SCO
0 - 4
ESP
19%
22%
60%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2006 |
ESP
5 - 3
TUR
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 1
GER
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ESP
8 - 1
CYP
86%
11%
4%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2006 |
ESP
4 - 0
SWE
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |