Portugal U19 vs Bulgaria U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
5.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
FRA
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ISR
0 - 5
POR
21%
22%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
LVA
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
POR
2 - 3
GRC
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
POR
3 - 3
ESP
25%
23%
52%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
BGR
7 - 0
AND
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AUT
2 - 1
BGR
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
HUN
1 - 1
BGR
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
BGR
1 - 2
BIH
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RUS
0 - 1
BGR
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |