Portugal U17 vs Republic of Ireland U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
CZE
0 - 2
POR
21%
21%
58%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
POR
6 - 1
MNE
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
ALB
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 1
POR
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Republic of Ireland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
SUI
0 - 0
IRL
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
IRL
0 - 0
ISL
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
IRL
4 - 0
ARM
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 0
IRL
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
IRL
4 - 2
HUN
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |