Portugal U17 vs Finland U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
POR
10 - 0
LIE
77%
14%
9%
|
63 | 6 | 57 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 0
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SRB
2 - 3
POR
25%
23%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
POL
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
FRA
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Finland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
FIN
2 - 2
BIH
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
FIN
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NED
0 - 1
FIN
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 1
BEL
18%
21%
62%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 3
FIN
13%
16%
72%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |