Portugal U17 vs Scotland U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
POR
5 - 0
MLT
80%
15%
5%
|
62 | 19 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 2
POR
10%
16%
74%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
NED
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
POR
5 - 0
AUT
56%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SCO
6 - 0
MLT
72%
17%
12%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 1
AZE
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
SCO
70%
20%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 0
SCO
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |