Portstewart vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
TOB
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BRF
4 - 1
POR
72%
16%
11%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
LIM
9%
18%
73%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
RRF
51%
22%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DOL
3 - 1
WAR
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
RRF
3 - 0
WAR
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
4 - 1
WAR
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
LIS
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |