Portstewart vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
10º
11
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
LIM
3 - 1
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
DOL
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
QUB
3 - 4
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
TOB
74%
15%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 0
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 0
PSN
88%
8%
3%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PSN
1 - 2
LIM
13%
19%
68%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QUB
3 - 2
PSN
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DOL
6 - 0
PSN
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 0
PSN
75%
17%
9%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |