Portstewart vs Dollingstown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
10º
24
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
QUB
3 - 4
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
TOB
74%
15%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 0
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
BRF
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
MOY
4 - 1
POR
30%
24%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Dollingstown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DOL
6 - 0
PSN
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
6 - 0
DOL
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
3 - 0
DOL
45%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DOL
4 - 0
ARC
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 4
DOL
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |