Portsmouth vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
OPA
2 - 0
WBA
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
CRE
1 - 3
OPA
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
OPA
2 - 1
NTT
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2000 |
BIR
1 - 0
OPA
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
IPS
0 - 1
OPA
78%
15%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWI
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
SWI
1 - 2
WOL
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
CHA
0 - 1
SWI
81%
15%
5%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2000 |
SWI
2 - 0
HUR
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
NTT
3 - 1
SWI
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |