Portsmouth vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
REA
0 - 0
OPA
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
OPA
3 - 1
HUR
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
SHE
1 - 0
OPA
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
OPA
1 - 0
STO
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
BAR
3 - 2
OPA
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
SWI
2 - 2
BOL
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
STO
2 - 0
SWI
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 0
SWI
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
SWI
3 - 1
REA
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
SHE
2 - 0
SWI
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |