Portsmouth vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 1
OPA
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 2
OPA
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
OPA
0 - 0
BRI
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
OPA
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
OPA
1 - 4
WHU
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SWA
2 - 0
REA
30%
25%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
HIS
1 - 2
SWA
26%
24%
49%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
BUR
0 - 2
SWA
49%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
BIR
0 - 0
SWA
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
SWA
0 - 0
COV
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |