Portsmouth vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
OPA
4 - 0
SUN
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 1
OPA
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
OPA
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
OPA
2 - 2
PLY
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
OPA
1 - 2
CAM
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SUT
4 - 3
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 2
SUT
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUT
4 - 0
CUM
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
EXE
2 - 0
SUT
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 0
HAR
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |