Portsmouth vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1953 |
ASV
6 - 0
OPA
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
OPA
3 - 1
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1953 |
OPA
3 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 0
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1953 |
OPA
2 - 0
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1953 |
SUN
2 - 2
MUD
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
CHL
3 - 2
SUN
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1953 |
BUR
2 - 0
SUN
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1953 |
SUN
1 - 1
BPO
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1953 |
DER
3 - 1
SUN
46%
22%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |