Portsmouth vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
ASV
2 - 0
OPA
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
OPA
1 - 0
WOL
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
EVE
5 - 1
OPA
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
OPA
4 - 0
HUR
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1938 |
GRI
2 - 1
OPA
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 3
SUN
56%
21%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 2
BPO
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
HUR
0 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
DER
1 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |