Portsmouth vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1929 |
OPA
1 - 1
GRI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
BUR
4 - 0
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1929 |
GRI
1 - 1
OPA
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
OPA
0 - 4
SHW
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1929 |
MUD
0 - 0
OPA
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1929 |
BUR
2 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
SUN
5 - 2
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
DER
3 - 0
SUN
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1929 |
SHE
4 - 0
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1929 |
SUN
4 - 1
WHU
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |