Portsmouth vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
BBU
4 - 0
OPA
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
OPA
2 - 0
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1928 |
OPA
1 - 0
MAC
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
EVE
4 - 0
OPA
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
OPA
1 - 0
HUR
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1928 |
BBU
2 - 0
SUN
54%
22%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
SUN
4 - 0
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
SHW
2 - 1
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
SUN
4 - 0
DER
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1928 |
SUN
3 - 1
BBU
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |