Portsmouth vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1987 |
OPA
0 - 3
CHL
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
OXF
4 - 2
OPA
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
OPA
1 - 2
SHE
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1987 |
CRY
1 - 0
OPA
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
OPA
2 - 0
MIL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
NOR
0 - 1
SOU
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
SOU
2 - 2
MUD
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
COV
1 - 1
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1987 |
SOU
1 - 0
WHU
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
WAT
1 - 1
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |