Portsmouth vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NOT
3 - 0
OPA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
OPA
1 - 2
SWI
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OPA
1 - 2
WAL
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 3
OPA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
OPA
2 - 2
BOU
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
OLD
1 - 1
SCU
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
STF
0 - 1
SCU
54%
25%
20%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 1
SHE
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 2
NOT
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |