Portsmouth vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
CRY
1 - 2
OPA
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
OPA
0 - 3
BOL
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
WOL
1 - 2
OPA
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1997 |
NOR
1 - 0
OPA
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
POR
0 - 2
OPA
60%
24%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
BIR
4 - 1
REA
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
REA
2 - 2
CHA
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
REA
3 - 1
SOU
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
OXF
2 - 1
REA
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
REA
2 - 2
WBA
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |