EFL Cup 1/64
Global 6-3
Portsmouth vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
TRA
1 - 1
OPA
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
PLY
1 - 3
OPA
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
OPA
1 - 2
WAT
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
BRA
1 - 3
OPA
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
OPA
3 - 0
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
MAN
2 - 0
PLY
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
PLY
1 - 3
OPA
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
PLY
2 - 1
ROC
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
BUR
2 - 1
PLY
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
PLY
1 - 3
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |