Portsmouth vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 0
OPA
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
STE
2 - 1
OPA
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OPA
3 - 1
STF
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
OPA
2 - 0
CRE
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
OPA
1 - 3
WYC
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 2
DON
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
3 - 3
BOU
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
COV
1 - 2
NOT
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 4
SHE
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 4
NOT
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |