Portsmouth vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
OPA
2 - 2
NEW
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 1
OPA
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
NEW
2 - 0
OPA
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
OPA
3 - 2
SHW
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 5
OPA
67%
17%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
NTT
7 - 0
BUR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
LEE
1 - 2
NTT
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1957 |
BUR
3 - 1
NTT
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
NTT
2 - 1
MAC
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |