Portsmouth vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
OPA
1 - 2
BBU
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
OPA
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
WOL
0 - 0
OPA
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
OPA
4 - 0
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 1
OPA
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 0
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 0
CUM
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
HUR
3 - 0
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
CHE
4 - 3
NOR
57%
23%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 0
DON
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |