Portsmouth vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1950 |
OPA
4 - 1
SHW
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
HUR
2 - 1
OPA
36%
25%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1950 |
SHW
2 - 1
OPA
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1950 |
OPA
1 - 1
MID
66%
19%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1950 |
OPA
5 - 1
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1950 |
WBA
1 - 2
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
NEW
1 - 1
EVE
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1950 |
NEW
1 - 1
WBA
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1950 |
STO
1 - 2
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1950 |
NEW
3 - 0
BPO
64%
19%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |