Portsmouth vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
BBU
1 - 0
OPA
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
OPA
3 - 0
LEI
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1930 |
OPA
3 - 1
WHU
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1930 |
LIV
2 - 0
OPA
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1930 |
MAC
5 - 2
OPA
73%
16%
12%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
NEW
2 - 2
MAC
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
SHW
4 - 2
NEW
67%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1930 |
BUR
0 - 3
NEW
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1930 |
HUL
1 - 0
NEW
30%
24%
45%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |