Portsmouth vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
WHU
0 - 1
OPA
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
OPA
0 - 1
LIV
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
LEE
3 - 2
OPA
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
OPA
4 - 1
BCF
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
LEI
10 - 0
OPA
69%
16%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 0
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
MAC
2 - 4
NEW
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
NEW
4 - 1
HUR
54%
21%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
SUN
5 - 2
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
NEW
0 - 3
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |