Portsmouth vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1928 |
BBU
6 - 0
OPA
61%
20%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
SHW
2 - 0
OPA
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
OPA
4 - 1
MID
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1928 |
OPA
4 - 1
SHE
43%
24%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
BIR
2 - 0
OPA
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1928 |
SHE
1 - 1
NEW
65%
18%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1928 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
LIV
0 - 0
NEW
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1928 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |