Portsmouth vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEE
3 - 3
OPA
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
OPA
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
MKD
1 - 1
OPA
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 2
OPA
8%
17%
74%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 3
OPA
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 35 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 3
WAT
35%
28%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 1
SOU
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 1
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 2
MIL
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
NTT
2 - 1
MIL
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |