Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
SOU
2 - 1
OPA
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CHL
3 - 0
OPA
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
OPA
0 - 1
BBU
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
OPA
1 - 0
GIL
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
EVE
2 - 1
OPA
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
3 - 0
MID
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
NOR
4 - 4
MID
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
MID
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 2
MID
16%
26%
58%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
CHL
2 - 0
MID
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | -1 |