Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1948 |
GRI
1 - 0
OPA
36%
24%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1948 |
OPA
2 - 0
WOL
43%
24%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1948 |
PNE
1 - 2
OPA
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1948 |
ASV
2 - 1
OPA
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1948 |
OPA
1 - 0
PNE
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1948 |
BPO
1 - 0
MID
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1948 |
MID
4 - 1
GRI
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1948 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1948 |
MAC
2 - 0
MID
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1948 |
ARS
7 - 0
MID
65%
18%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |