Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1936 |
OPA
6 - 2
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1936 |
BIR
2 - 1
OPA
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1936 |
OPA
2 - 1
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1936 |
OPA
3 - 2
GRI
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1936 |
CHL
1 - 0
OPA
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1936 |
WOL
0 - 1
MID
65%
17%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1936 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1936 |
WOL
4 - 0
MID
64%
18%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1936 |
MID
0 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1936 |
BIR
1 - 0
MID
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |