Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1933 |
ASV
4 - 1
OPA
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1933 |
OPA
2 - 0
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
WOL
5 - 2
OPA
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
OPA
1 - 0
SHE
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1932 |
HUR
2 - 2
OPA
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1933 |
MID
1 - 1
LEI
57%
19%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1933 |
LIV
1 - 3
MID
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
MID
2 - 1
BOL
49%
21%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1933 |
MID
2 - 3
NEW
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |