Portsmouth vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
SHE
3 - 0
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
OPA
0 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
BUR
4 - 1
OPA
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
OPA
0 - 1
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
WHU
0 - 1
OPA
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
43%
24%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 4
BBU
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
SUN
5 - 1
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
MUD
0 - 1
DER
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |