Portsmouth vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1957 |
BPO
5 - 0
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
OPA
3 - 2
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1957 |
LUT
1 - 0
OPA
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
TOT
2 - 0
OPA
65%
17%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
OPA
2 - 2
LUT
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 1
WBA
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 3
ARS
54%
21%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
4 - 1
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
CHL
4 - 2
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
1 - 2
NEW
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |