Portsmouth vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
NEW
1 - 3
OPA
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1949 |
MUD
3 - 2
OPA
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1949 |
ARS
3 - 2
OPA
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
OPA
2 - 0
HUR
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 2
OPA
46%
24%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
MAC
3 - 3
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1949 |
HUR
1 - 0
MAC
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
MAC
0 - 3
ARS
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
WOL
1 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 1
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |