Portsmouth vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
SHW
1 - 2
OPA
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
OPA
0 - 2
BIR
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
ARS
1 - 1
OPA
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
OPA
1 - 0
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
LEE
1 - 0
OPA
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
MAC
2 - 2
HUR
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
STO
0 - 1
MAC
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
MAC
4 - 1
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
SHE
1 - 1
MAC
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |