Portsmouth vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
DER
3 - 2
OPA
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
OPA
1 - 4
EVE
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1929 |
LEE
1 - 0
OPA
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
BOL
2 - 1
OPA
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
OPA
1 - 1
SUN
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 3
MAC
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
MAC
3 - 0
DER
67%
18%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
EVE
2 - 3
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
MAC
2 - 0
BOL
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1929 |
ARS
3 - 2
MAC
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |