Portsmouth vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
0 - 1
MIL
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEE
3 - 3
OPA
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
OPA
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
MKD
1 - 1
OPA
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 2
OPA
8%
17%
74%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 4
BUR
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
4 - 1
LUT
8%
16%
76%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 3
CEL
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
LUT
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GOZ
3 - 2
LUT
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |