Portsmouth vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
LEY
3 - 2
OPA
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 2
OPA
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
OPA
4 - 0
HAR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
OPA
1 - 0
STA
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
WYC
2 - 2
OPA
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
LUT
0 - 2
WYC
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
EXE
2 - 3
LUT
46%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LUT
3 - 4
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
POS
2 - 0
LUT
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 0
LUT
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |