FA Cup 1/32
Global 4-3
Portsmouth vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
IPS
2 - 2
OPA
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
OPA
3 - 0
CRA
56%
23%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
OPA
0 - 0
LUT
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
LEY
3 - 2
OPA
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 2
OPA
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
IPS
1 - 1
PNE
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
IPS
2 - 1
LEE
56%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
IPS
2 - 2
OPA
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 0
IPS
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
BHA
0 - 1
IPS
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |