Portsmouth vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ARS
4 - 1
OPA
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
BIR
1 - 0
OPA
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
OPA
0 - 1
FUL
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
WIG
1 - 0
OPA
37%
28%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
OPA
3 - 1
SUN
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 0
HER
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
HER
1 - 3
BCF
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
CHE
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 2
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |