Portsmouth vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
OPA
0 - 3
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WBA
1 - 1
OPA
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
WOL
3 - 2
OPA
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
OPA
3 - 2
BBU
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
OPA
2 - 2
ACM
33%
27%
39%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 3
SCH
32%
25%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 2
SPB
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 2
PSV
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
TWE
6 - 0
SCH
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |