Portsmouth vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
BUR
4 - 0
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1929 |
GRI
1 - 1
OPA
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
OPA
0 - 4
SHW
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1929 |
MUD
0 - 0
OPA
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1929 |
OPA
2 - 3
SHE
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
GRI
4 - 0
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1929 |
GRI
1 - 1
OPA
51%
23%
27%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
SHE
2 - 3
GRI
77%
13%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1929 |
MID
3 - 0
GRI
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1929 |
BRA
1 - 0
GRI
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |