Portsmouth vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
EVE
2 - 1
OPA
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
OPA
1 - 1
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
OPA
0 - 2
CHL
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
CRY
0 - 1
OPA
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
OPA
0 - 1
ARS
14%
21%
64%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
SUN
1 - 1
GIL
69%
20%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
GIL
0 - 0
REA
31%
26%
42%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
GIL
3 - 1
COV
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
BHA
2 - 1
GIL
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
GIL
3 - 1
ROT
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |