Portsmouth vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
LEE
1 - 2
OPA
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
OPA
1 - 0
MUD
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
OPA
3 - 1
BIR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 1
OPA
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
BBU
1 - 2
OPA
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
FUL
2 - 0
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
0 - 0
FUL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
FUL
3 - 4
BBU
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 2
FUL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
FUL
0 - 0
BIR
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |