Portsmouth vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1947 |
OPA
2 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1946 |
BBU
0 - 1
OPA
50%
22%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1946 |
OPA
0 - 2
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1946 |
ARS
2 - 1
OPA
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1946 |
OPA
4 - 4
PNE
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1947 |
EVE
1 - 0
BBU
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1947 |
EVE
2 - 0
ASV
71%
16%
14%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1946 |
BRE
1 - 1
EVE
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1946 |
DER
5 - 1
EVE
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1946 |
EVE
4 - 1
DER
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |