Portsmouth vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
WOL
3 - 0
OPA
75%
15%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
HUR
3 - 0
OPA
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
BOL
5 - 1
OPA
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
OPA
2 - 2
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1938 |
OPA
0 - 0
ARS
42%
25%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
EVE
3 - 2
HUR
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
EVE
2 - 0
ARS
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 0
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
DER
2 - 1
EVE
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
EVE
2 - 2
DER
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |