Portsmouth vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
HUR
3 - 1
OPA
67%
19%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
ASV
3 - 2
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
OPA
3 - 2
ASV
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
OPA
3 - 0
MUD
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
SHE
3 - 0
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
EVE
4 - 0
DER
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
EVE
3 - 0
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
EVE
0 - 0
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
EVE
5 - 2
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
43%
24%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |