Portsmouth vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1947 |
CHL
0 - 3
OPA
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1947 |
LEE
0 - 1
OPA
39%
23%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1947 |
MUD
3 - 0
OPA
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1947 |
SHE
3 - 1
OPA
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1947 |
OPA
1 - 1
WOL
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1947 |
PNE
1 - 1
DER
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1947 |
DER
1 - 2
SHE
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1947 |
DER
0 - 1
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1947 |
DER
1 - 0
HUR
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1947 |
DER
2 - 1
LEE
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |